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Noodles and Non-existence

Answering the "Many Gods" objection to Pascal's Wager. (Part 1)

"Pascal's wager is a false dichotomy."
"Pascal's wager ignores the effect of other religions."
"What about the Flying Spaghetti Monster wager?"
That's the common refrain of atheists, at least on the internet, whenever someone raises the famed gambit of the French Mathematician and father of probability theory. It just so happens that this common refrain is totally wrong. It can be demonstrated that it's wrong in one of two ways.

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Betting on Thirteens

Answering the "Many Gods" objection to Pascal's Wager. (Part 2)

Dice showing a roll of thirteen. The second possible riposte is a little bolder. This shows that the wager can still apply directly to an individual god, such as the Christian Trinity, even if other gods could be out there. First, let's give our anomaly a friend and try our hand at Gambling.

Mathematicians struggle with Infinities at the best of times, though they do know that any Casino that offered an infinite payout would soon be broke. Instead we'll say that you put down a fiver to play, and you get £50 if you win. Our gamble is simple: roll two dice, and you win if it's a seven. The odds of throwing seven on two fair dice is well known to be 1 in 6, so a bit of basic probability theory suggests you can expect to make an average of £3.33 each go for playing this game. In other words, success is sufficiently probable and the payout sufficiently large that this is actually a good gamble. Read more